Modeling scenarios for improving the technical level and operational status of the Novokuznetsk belt road implemented on the basis of the public-private partnership mechanism

Authors: 
Vitalii A. Buivis
Aleksei V. Novichikhin
Receipt date: 
15.10.2020
Bibliographic description of the article: 

Buivis V. A., Novichikhin A. V. Modelirovaniye stsenariyev povysheniya tekhnicheskogo urovnya i ekspluatatsionnogo sostoyaniya Novokuznetskoy kol'tsevoy avtomobil'noy dorogi, realizuyemykh na osnove mekhanizma gosudarstvenno-chastnogo partnerstva [Modeling scenarios for improving the technical level and operational status of the Novokuznetsk belt road implemented on the basis of the public-private partnership mechanism]. Sovremennye tekhnologii. Sistemnyi analiz. Modelirovanie [Modern Technologies. System Analysis. Modeling], 2020, No. 4 (68), pp. 127–134. – DOI: 10.26731/1813-9108.2020.4(68).127-134

Section: 
Transport
Year: 
2020
Journal number: 
№4(68)
УДК: 
625.7:004.942
DOI: 

10.26731/1813-9108.2020.4(68).127-134

Article File: 
PDF icon 127-134.pdf
Pages: 
127
134
Abstract: 

The transport and operational condition of roads and the level of development of the road facilities do not fully meet the modern requirements of the regional economy, which significantly hinders socio-economic development. The work defines the state of the road facilities of the Kemerovo region – Kuzbass. It identifies the main reasons for the non-compliance of roads with the regulatory requirements for transport and operational conditions and the peculiar aspects of the functioning of the modern road facilities of the region. To solve the problem and to improve the technical level and operational condition of roads, the paper proposes to attract private investment in infrastructure projects through public-private partnership mechanisms. The problem was solved using the example of the object – the Novokuznetsk Belt Road (southern bypass). To solve the problem, an additional set of indicators for evaluating public-private partnership projects in the road complex is proposed. Scenarios, implemented using the public-private partnership mechanism, have been developed to improve the technical level and operational condition of the Novokuznetsk Belt Road. These scenarios were modeled, and the problem of preferential selection of projects for improvement of technical level and operational condition of the Novokuznetsk Belt Road from many alternative measures according to five indicators by the method of hierarchies was solved. The methodology for solving the problem of choosing public-private partnership projects, when planning the allocation of resources in the road facilities, contains additional tools in the form of a set of indicators and allows one to use it to solve the problem of choosing a project option that meets all the requirements declared by the customer taking into account the level of investment opportunities.

Keywords: 
allocation of resources
indicators
scripts
public-private partnerships
road facilities
choice of scenarios
List of references: 
  1. Rasporyazhenie Pravitel'stva Rossiiskoi Federatsii «Ob utverzhdenii Transportnoi strategii Rossiiskoi Federatsii na period do 2030 goda N 1734-r ot 22 noyabrya 2008 g [Order of the Government of the Russian Federation "On Approval of the Transport Strategy of the Russian Federation for the Period up to 2030 N 1734-r dated November 22, 2008] [Electronic media]. URL: http://docs.cntd.ru/document/902132678 (Accessed: October 18, 2020)
  2. Zakon Kemerovskoi oblasti «Ob utverzhdenii Strategii sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya Kemerovskoi oblasti do 2035 goda» № 12-OZ ot 26 dekabrya 2018 g. [The Law of the Kemerovo Region" On Approval of the Strategy of Socio-economic Development of the Kemerovo region until 2035 " No. 12-OZ dated December 26, 2018] [Electronic media]. URL: http:// docs.cntd.ru/document/550305101 (Accessed: October 18, 2020)
  3. Postanovlenie Pravitel'stva RF ot 3 oktyabrya 2013 g. № 864 “O federal'noi tselevoi programme «Povyshenie bezopasnosti dorozhnogo dvizheniya v 2013–2020 godakh» [Resolution of the Government of the Russian Federation No. 864 of October 3, 2013 "On the Federal target program "Improving Road safety in 2013-2020"] [Electronic media]. URL: http:// base.garant.ru/70467076/ (Accessed: October 18, 2020).
  4. Bezopasnost' na dorogakh. Godovoi otchet po avariinosti [Road safety. Annual accident report] [Electronic media].  URL: http:// kuzdor.ru / date of application (Accessed: October 18, 2020).
  5. Programma kompleksnogo razvitiya transportnoi infrastruktury Novokuznetskoi aglomeratsii [Program of integrated development of transport infrastructure of Novokuznetsk agglomeration] [Electronic media]. URL: http: //bkd.rosdornii.ru / agglomeration/novokuznetskaya/ (Accessed: October 18, 2020).
  6. Itogi BKAD v Novokuznetske za 2019 god [The results of BCAD in Novokuznetsk for 2019] [Electronic media]. URL: http:// www.admnkz.info/web/guest/news/one/ as-set_publisher/JE0WkfMvNUCn/content/ id/2684327 / (Accessed: October 18, 2020).
  7. Buivis V. A., Novichikhin A. V. The algorithm for the selection of public-private partnership projects for planning the resources allocation in road and transport infrastructure [Electronic media].  // IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 2019. Vol. 377. 012028. DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/377/1/012028
  8. Cherkashina M. V. Avtodorozhnoe khozyaistvo Rossii: perspektivy razvitiya i rynochnaya kon"yunktura [Road economy of Russia: development prospects and market conditions] // Izvestiya Irkutskoi gosudarstvennoi ekonomicheskoi akademii (Baikal'skii gosudarstvennyi universitet ekonomiki i prava) [Proceedings of the Irkutsk State Academy of Economics (Baikal State University of Economics and Law)], 2015. Vol. 6, No. 1 [Electronic media]. URL: http://eizvestia.isea.ru/reader/article.aspx?id=19955. DOI: 10.17150/2072-0904.2015.6(1).5
  9. Gabdullina E. I. Otsenka effektivnosti GChP kak mekhanizma vzaimodeistvii vlasti i biznesa [Evaluation of the effectiveness of PPP as a mechanism of interaction between government and business] Sovremennye problemy nauki i obrazovaniya [Modern problems of science and education], 2012. No. 2. Pp. 54-58.
  10. Prokopovich S. Yu. Gosudarstvenno-chastnoe partnerstvo v sisteme privlecheniya investitsii kak mekhanizm realizatsii strategii sotsial'no-ekonomicheskogo razvitiya: aspekt effektivnosti i riskov [Public-private partnership in the system of attracting investments as a mechanism for implementing the strategy of socio-economic development: aspect of efficiency and risks] // Sovremennye problemy nauki i obrazovaniya [Modern problems of science and education], 2013. No. 3. Pp. 23-30.
  11. Lavrent’ev P. A., Solodkii A. I. Metodika vybora proektov GChP pri obsluzhivanii i remonte avtomobil'nykh dorog dlya vnebyudzhetnogo finansirovaniya [Methodology for selecting PPP projects in the maintenance and repair of highways for extra – budgetary financing] [Electronic media] // Upravlenie ekonomicheskimi sistemami [Management of economic systems], 2015. No. 11(83). URL: http://uecs.ru/index.php?option=com_flexicontent&view=items&id=3790:2015... (Accessed: October 18, 2020)
  12. Prikaz Minekonomrazvitiya Rossii «Ob utverzhdenii Metodiki otsenki effektivnosti proekta gosudarstvenno-chastnogo partnerstva, proekta munitsipal'no-chastnogo partnerstva i opredeleniya ikh sravnitel'nogo preimushchestva» №894 ot 30 noyabrya 2015 g. [The Order of the Ministry of economic development of Russia "On approval of the Methodology for assessing the effectiveness of public-private partnership project of municipal-private partnership and determination of their comparative advantage" No. 894 dated November 30, 2015] [Electronic media]. URL: http://docs.cntd.ru/document/420321343 (Accessed: October 18, 2020)
  13. Buivis V. A., Novichikhin A. V. Metodicheskie osobennosti funktsionirovaniya i raspredeleniya resursov avtodorozhnogo kompleksa modeli i stsenarii [Methodological features of functioning and allocation of resources road complex models and scenarios] // Transportnoe planirovanie i modelirovanie : sb. tr. IV Mezhdunar. nauch.-prakt. konf. [Traffic planning and modelling : Proc. of IV International scientific and pract. conf.] SpbGASU Publ., St. Petersburg, 2019, pp. 47-54.
  14. Buivis V. A., Novichikhin A.V., Temlyantsev M. V. Mathematical models of functioning and allocation indicators of road-transport complex resources in the fuel and raw materials region. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 2017. Vol. 84. 012026. DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/84/1/012026.
  15. Zakharova A. A. Matematicheskoe i programmnoe obespechenie sistem podderzhki prinyatiya strategicheskikh reshenii na osnove ekspertnykh znanii: monografiya [Mathematical and software support systems for strategic decision-making based on expert knowledge: a monograph]. Yurga Technological Institute. Tomsk: Tomsk Polytechnic University Publ., 2018, 206 p.
  16. Saati T. L. Decision making with the analytic hierarchy process. London: McGraw-Hill, 1980 [Transl. from English. Russ. edition: Prinyatie reshenii. Metod analiza ierarkhii. Radio and Communications Publ., 1989. 316 p.].
  17. Buivis V.A., Novichikhin A.V., Kaledin V.O. Models of functioning and resources allocation of road and transport infrastructure // IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 2018. Vol. 206. 012036. DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/206/1/012036
  18. Buivis V. A., Yur'eva E. N., Novichikhin A.V. Modelirovanie stsenariev raspredeleniya resursov avtodorozhnogo kompleksa (v usloviyakh goroda Novokuznetska) [Modeling of scenarios of distribution of resources road complex (in the city of Novokuznetsk)] // Sistemy upravleniya i informatsionnye tekhnologii [Control systems and information technology], No.4 (78), 2019. Pp. 65-69.